Work & Economy Record 38% of new vehicle sales to be EVs in 2030, study finds Report sees strong growth despite recent loss of federal incentives Alvin Powell Harvard Staff Writer September 17, 2026 5 min read Elaine Buckberg is a senior fellow at the Salata Institute and the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.Veasey Conway/Harvard Staff Photographer Editor’s note: This story was updated to correct the estimated percentage of 2030 new car sales that would be made up of EVs from 32 percent to 38 percent. A new analysis of U.S. electric vehicle sales projects that a record share of new vehicles sold in 2030 will be electric, despite recent steps by the federal government to re...